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To own First Capital REIT, you have to believe in the long-term relevance of its urban retail portfolio, even with slower expected revenue growth and historically declining earnings. The latest C$250,000,000 Series G debenture adds to a busy year of refinancing and terming out debt, which may support near-term balance sheet flexibility but also reinforces that interest costs are a key swing factor for equity holders. With interest payments not well covered by earnings and an unstable dividend record, the main short term catalyst is how effectively management uses this fresh capital to reduce refinancing pressure and protect distributions, rather than to fund aggressive expansion. Given recent modest share price weakness, the new debt looks important more for risk management than for changing the growth story.
However, one funding risk in particular is worth understanding before committing new capital. Despite retreating, First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust's shares might still be trading 25% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Three Simply Wall St Community fair value views span from around C$21 to a very large C$104, underscoring how far opinions can stretch. Set that against the current focus on interest coverage and refinancing risk, and you can see why different investors may reach very different conclusions about how today’s funding choices could shape First Capital REIT’s future performance.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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