Earnings Not Telling The Story For Decollte Holdings Corporation (TSE:7372) After Shares Rise 25%
Decollte Holdings Corporation (TSE:7372) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 66%.
Following the firm bounce in price, Decollte Holdings may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.2x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Decollte Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Decollte Holdings
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Decollte Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 36%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 85% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Decollte Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Decollte Holdings shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Decollte Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Decollte Holdings (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Decollte Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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