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To own Trex, you generally need to believe in a long runway for composite decking replacing wood and in the company’s ability to protect margins despite softer repair and remodel demand and rising competition. Andy Rose’s appointment and insider share purchase support Trex’s governance story but do not materially change the near term catalyst around execution at its new Arkansas facility or the key risk from a weaker consumer spending backdrop.
Among recent announcements, the appointment of a new CFO in October 2025 stands out alongside Rose’s arrival, as both touch on capital allocation discipline and margin-focused execution at a time when Trex is investing heavily in capacity and product innovation. Together, these leadership changes sit in the background of investors’ focus on whether higher capital spending and pricing actions can translate into sustained earnings quality without eroding volume growth.
Yet while leadership changes may reassure some shareholders, the concentration in decking and railing still leaves Trex exposed in ways investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Trex Company (it's free!)
Trex Company's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $333.1 million earnings by 2028. This implies 10.2% yearly revenue growth and about a $146 million earnings increase from $186.7 million today.
Uncover how Trex Company's forecasts yield a $43.74 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Trex’s fair value between US$25 and US$47.12, reflecting a wide range of expectations. Set against concerns about softer repair and remodel demand, this spread underlines why it can help to compare several independent views before forming your own.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Trex Company - why the stock might be worth as much as 37% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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