A regulatory overhaul is potentially looming—and the ETF market is waiting with bated breath.
According to Morningstar’s most recent mid-year ETF guide, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may approve hybrid ETF-mutual fund share-class designs as early as the second half of 2025.
If approved, the change would unleash the floodgates for asset managers to launch new ETF share classes linked to their incumbent mutual funds, enabling new cost savings, tax advantages, and fund design opportunities that could shake the $25 trillion U.S. fund industry.
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Although Vanguard has been running ETFs as share classes of existing mutual funds under an SEC exemption all along, no other asset manager has had such access since. That exclusivity provided Vanguard with a structural advantage, specifically, tax efficiency and sharing of costs across share classes.
But with the other issuers now eager for similar flexibility, the industry waits anxiously. Asset managers such as Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA), Fidelity, and Franklin Templeton have all signaled intentions to introduce ETF share classes if and when the regulations change.
If ETF share classes are widely available, asset managers may be able to consolidate operations by making both mutual fund and ETF versions available under a single umbrella. That would result in fewer redundant portfolios, more consistent performance by wrappers, and cost savings that would be passed along to investors.
In addition, ETFs are more tax-efficient by nature due to their in-kind redemption feature. Encasing a mutual fund strategy in an ETF wrapper may provide legacy managers with the means to digitize without reinventing the wheel.
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Although SEC approval is speculative, certain companies are already in a good position for a potential first-mover benefit:
What’s Next: The SEC’s decision will depend on whether the share-class design presents any risk to ETF shareholders, especially in times of stress when flows could diverge between classes.
Nevertheless, market observers are hopeful. With ETFs already outperforming mutual funds in growth and popularity, regulatory innovation may be the spark that ignites a new wave of interest.
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