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    Does TPG’s India AI Data Center and Vayona Energy Push Change The Bull Case For TPG (TPG)?

    Simply Wall St·12/05/2025 12:17:43
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    • In recent months, TPG Capital has backed a TCS-led US$2.00 billion AI data center joint venture in India and, through a consortium with MAVCO, completed the acquisition of Siemens Gamesa’s onshore wind business in India and Sri Lanka, launching the Vayona Energy platform with 12.00 gigawatts of operational and under-development assets.
    • These moves deepen TPG’s exposure to AI infrastructure and renewable energy in fast-growing South Asian markets, reinforcing its focus on long-term thematic investment areas like digital infrastructure and sustainability.
    • We’ll now examine how TPG’s AI infrastructure partnership with TCS could reshape its investment narrative and long-term thematic growth focus.

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    TPG Investment Narrative Recap

    To own TPG, you need to believe it can convert its private markets platform and thematic investing approach into durable fee income and carried interest, despite fundraising and exit cycles. The recent AI data center and Vayona Energy moves support its long term themes, but do not materially change the near term picture where the key catalyst remains execution on fundraising and exits, while the biggest risk is that LPs feel overallocated to alternatives and constrain new commitments.

    The US$2.00 billion AI data center joint venture with TCS is the clearest recent example of TPG leaning into its digital infrastructure theme, tying directly into its catalyst around thematic growth funds. If this partnership helps underpin performance and product expansion in areas like AI, it could strengthen TPG’s case with institutional and retail channels at a time when some LPs are cautious on adding more private equity exposure.

    But while these growth stories are compelling, investors should also be aware of the risk that many LPs already feel overweight in alternatives and...

    Read the full narrative on TPG (it's free!)

    TPG’s narrative projects $2.3 billion revenue and $827.7 million earnings by 2028. This implies revenues will decline by 16.5% per year, while earnings are expected to rise by about $807.5 million from $20.2 million today.

    Uncover how TPG's forecasts yield a $66.00 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    TPG Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    TPG Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

    Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$40.90 to US$66, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, TPG’s push into AI infrastructure and renewables highlights how differently people might weigh its thematic growth potential versus the risk of slower private equity fundraising, so it can be worth comparing several perspectives before forming your own view.

    Explore 2 other fair value estimates on TPG - why the stock might be worth as much as 8% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own TPG Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

    • A great starting point for your TPG research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free TPG research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate TPG's overall financial health at a glance.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.