Hoosiers Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:3284) will pay a dividend of ¥37.00 on the 26th of June. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 5.8%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Hoosiers Holdings' earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 133.1% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 33% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Check out our latest analysis for Hoosiers Holdings
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥14.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥74.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 18% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Hoosiers Holdings has grown earnings per share at 133% per year over the past five years. Hoosiers Holdings is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.
We should note that Hoosiers Holdings has issued stock equal to 15% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While Hoosiers Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Hoosiers Holdings (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.