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    What MSCI (MSCI)'s New Public–Private Equity Index Means For Shareholders

    Simply Wall St·12/07/2025 03:39:13
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    • MSCI has launched the MSCI All Country Public + Private Equity Index, a daily benchmark that blends the MSCI ACWI IMI with a new private equity index built from LP-sourced data on nearly 10,000 funds, targeting a 15% allocation to modelled private equity and rebalancing quarterly.
    • This hybrid index gives investors a single framework to view public and private equity exposures together, potentially reshaping how institutions benchmark diversified, total-portfolio equity allocations.
    • Next, we’ll examine how this public–private equity benchmark, with its 15% private allocation, could influence MSCI’s recurring revenue growth narrative.

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    MSCI Investment Narrative Recap

    To own MSCI, you need to believe in steady, recurring revenue from index and data products, with private markets becoming a larger part of that toolkit over time. The new public plus private equity index strengthens MSCI’s private assets proposition, but its near term impact on the key catalyst of subscription and ABF growth looks incremental. The biggest current risk around dependence on private markets data sources does not appear materially changed by this launch.

    The launch of the MSCI All Country Public + Private Equity Index sits squarely within MSCI’s broader push into private capital tools, including earlier 2025 private markets index and data releases. Together, these offerings aim to deepen MSCI’s role in how institutions benchmark total portfolios, which ties back to the catalyst of expanding high margin subscription and analytics revenue across a more diversified client base.

    Yet while the product story is compelling, investors should be aware that MSCI’s reliance on external private markets data and data sharing agreements...

    Read the full narrative on MSCI (it's free!)

    MSCI's narrative projects $3.8 billion revenue and $1.6 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.5% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $0.4 billion from $1.2 billion today.

    Uncover how MSCI's forecasts yield a $657.56 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    MSCI Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    MSCI Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

    Seven Simply Wall St Community valuations for MSCI span roughly US$520.90 to US$686.08 per share, underlining how far opinions can diverge. Against that backdrop, the push into public plus private equity benchmarks raises fresh questions about how much growth MSCI can really extract from private assets over time, so you may want to compare several of these perspectives before deciding what you think.

    Explore 7 other fair value estimates on MSCI - why the stock might be worth as much as 27% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own MSCI Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

    • A great starting point for your MSCI research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free MSCI research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate MSCI's overall financial health at a glance.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.