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To own Albany International, you need to be comfortable with a mixed business where a mature Machine Clothing segment helps fund a more volatile aerospace composites arm. The potential sale of the Amelia Earhart Drive facility is a meaningful short term catalyst because it could lift AEC margins, but it also underlines execution and contract risk in a segment that has already weighed on recent profitability.
The latest dividend increase to US$0.28 per share shows the board is still returning cash to shareholders even as the company reviews options for the structures assembly facility. For investors, that combination of portfolio reshaping and ongoing capital returns sits alongside the key question of how much concentration risk in AEC programs they are willing to accept.
But behind the prospect of higher AEC margins, investors should be aware of the concentration risk around a handful of major aerospace programs...
Read the full narrative on Albany International (it's free!)
Albany International's narrative projects $1.3 billion revenue and $181.1 million earnings by 2028. This implies earnings rising by about $181.1 million from today's level.
Uncover how Albany International's forecasts yield a $53.50 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
The one Simply Wall St Community fair value input of US$53.50 highlights how even a single private estimate can differ from current pricing. You should weigh that against the risk that Albany’s heavy dependence on a few aerospace and defense programs could still drive meaningful earnings volatility.
Explore another fair value estimate on Albany International - why the stock might be worth as much as 8% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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