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To own Kratos, you need to believe its early push into unmanned systems, propulsion, and specialized services can justify heavy upfront investment and currently thin margins. The Vancouver PT6 facility adds useful, but not transformational, near term lift to the main catalyst, which still centers on scaling high value drone, propulsion, and space programs. The most immediate risk remains Kratos’ willingness to spend ahead of firmly locked in awards, which keeps free cash flow under pressure.
Among recent announcements, the new Auburn Hills, Michigan jet engine facility ties most directly into this theme of capacity built in advance of full program ramps. Alongside Vancouver, it reinforces how much of the Kratos story now hinges on converting expanded propulsion and unmanned production lines into sustained, higher margin volume, without overextending the balance sheet or relying too heavily on optimistic contract timing.
Yet while the growth story is compelling, investors should be aware of how Kratos’ heavy upfront spending could backfire if...
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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' narrative projects $1.9 billion revenue and $101.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 17.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $87 million earnings increase from $14.5 million today.
Uncover how Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' forecasts yield a $99.80 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.
Fourteen fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$4 to US$101 per share, underlining how far apart individual views on Kratos can be. Before you commit to any one view, it is worth weighing this against the company’s aggressive expansion of facilities ahead of fully secured contracts and what that could mean for future cash generation.
Explore 14 other fair value estimates on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions - why the stock might be worth as much as 31% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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