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To own Ferrari, you need to believe the brand can keep converting scarcity and racing prestige into resilient, high-margin cash flows, even as the auto industry shifts toward electrification and shifting luxury tastes. The renewed Philip Morris International partnership and cheaper revolving credit facility both modestly support near term flexibility, but they do not materially change the key short term catalyst around sustaining pricing power or the main risk of evolving demand and regulatory pressure on high performance vehicles.
Among recent announcements, the renewed and strengthened multi year partnership with Philip Morris International stands out as most relevant here, because it reinforces Ferrari’s sponsorship and racing economics rather than its car volumes. As the company balances product cycle transitions and potential ASP pressure, incremental, higher visibility sponsorship income can help offset some revenue or margin bumpiness, while still leaving investors exposed to broader shifts in customer behavior and regulatory requirements.
Yet even with these long standing sponsorship tailwinds, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Ferrari (it's free!)
Ferrari's narrative projects €8.8 billion revenue and €2.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.1% yearly revenue growth and about a €0.5 billion earnings increase from €1.6 billion today.
Uncover how Ferrari's forecasts yield a €404.24 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.
Sixteen fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span about €89.92 to roughly €545.09, showing how far apart individual expectations can be. When you weigh that spread against Ferrari’s reliance on maintaining demand for ultra high end vehicles amid changing luxury and regulatory trends, it becomes clear why comparing several independent viewpoints may help frame the company’s possible paths ahead.
Explore 16 other fair value estimates on Ferrari - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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