Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) just rolled out a multi year partnership with Cisco, bringing the tech giant in as an Official Partner to upgrade the arena’s networking backbone and fan facing digital experiences.
See our latest analysis for Madison Square Garden Entertainment.
The upbeat mood around this Cisco deal comes on top of already strong momentum, with Madison Square Garden Entertainment posting a roughly 45 percent year to date share price return and a robust 1 year total shareholder return of about 38 percent, suggesting investors are increasingly pricing in growth and execution upside.
If this kind of live entertainment upgrade has your attention, it could be a good time to explore other experience driven names by scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With shares hovering near analyst targets after a strong run and solid earnings momentum, the key question now is whether Madison Square Garden Entertainment is still trading below its true potential or if the market has already priced in the next leg of growth.
With Madison Square Garden Entertainment closing at $51.79 against a narrative fair value of $51.50, expectations sit almost exactly where the current price does, putting the focus firmly on the assumptions behind that tight gap.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $44.875 for Madison Square Garden Entertainment based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
In order for you to agree with the analyst's consensus, you'd need to believe that by 2028, revenues will be $1.1 billion, earnings will come to $131.3 million, and it would be trading on a PE ratio of 20.6x, assuming you use a discount rate of 11.0%.
Curious how modest revenue growth, a sharp earnings ramp, and a lower future multiple can still back into today’s lofty price tag, and why the discount rate assumption quietly pulls all those moving parts together into one tight fair value range? The full narrative lays out the exact growth, margin, and de rating path needed to keep this stock looking reasonably priced.
Result: Fair Value of $51.50 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, the bullish setup could unravel if marquee residencies fail to be replaced or if a consumer slowdown dents premium hospitality and ticket demand.
Find out about the key risks to this Madison Square Garden Entertainment narrative.
If you see the story differently or want to stress test your own assumptions using the same building blocks, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes, Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Madison Square Garden Entertainment research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
Before you move on, give yourself an edge by using the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover fresh opportunities that most investors are still overlooking.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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