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Earnings Beat, Dividend and Ownership Shifts Could Be A Game Changer For QCR Holdings (QCRH)

Simply Wall St·12/08/2025 14:15:06
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  • QCR Holdings recently reported a very strong third quarter, with revenue and earnings per share coming in well above analyst expectations, while institutional investors including Franklin Resources and Vanguard adjusted their positions and the company declared a quarterly dividend payable on 7 January.
  • This mix of earnings outperformance, shifting institutional ownership, and a modest dividend underscores how investors are reassessing QCR Holdings’ earnings quality and capital return profile.
  • With QCR Holdings’ quarterly results surpassing analyst forecasts, we’ll now examine how this earnings beat reshapes the company’s longer-term investment narrative.

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QCR Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To own QCR Holdings, you need to believe its community banking model, fee income streams, and digital push can support steady earnings, even as it leans on CRE and LIHTC exposure. The latest earnings beat and 20% share price move highlight strong near term momentum but do not materially change the key short term catalyst, which remains execution on digital and efficiency initiatives, or the biggest risk, which is concentration in CRE and specialized lending if credit conditions weaken.

The reaffirmed US$0.06 per share quarterly dividend, implying a modest 0.3% yield, is the most relevant announcement here because it frames how management is balancing growth investment with capital returns after a very strong quarter. For investors, the combination of robust Q3 earnings, a rising share price, and a stable dividend policy feeds directly into the question of how durable QCR’s earnings mix really is as it approaches the US$10 billion asset threshold and prepares for Durbin related revenue pressure.

But against this stronger quarter, investors should be aware of how concentrated exposure to commercial real estate could...

Read the full narrative on QCR Holdings (it's free!)

QCR Holdings’ narrative projects $549.9 million revenue and $134.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 19.4% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $21.6 million from $112.8 million today.

Uncover how QCR Holdings' forecasts yield a $89.30 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

QCRH Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Dec 2025
QCRH Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Dec 2025

Simply Wall St Community members currently offer just 1 fair value estimate at US$89.30 per share, showing how even a single private view can differ from market pricing. When you set that against QCR’s reliance on CRE and specialized lending, it underlines why many participants seek out several perspectives before deciding how comfortable they are with the bank’s risk return profile.

Explore another fair value estimate on QCR Holdings - why the stock might be worth just $89.30!

Build Your Own QCR Holdings Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your QCR Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free QCR Holdings research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate QCR Holdings' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.