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To own Weyerhaeuser, you need to believe its timberlands, climate-focused businesses and dividend can compensate for lumber and housing cyclicality. The recent update that shares trade below implied timberland value supports that thesis but does not change the near term reality that soft housing demand and lumber prices remain the key catalyst and risk, respectively, for the stock.
The upcoming investor day, where Weyerhaeuser plans to lay out financial targets through 2030, looks especially relevant here because it should clarify how management intends to balance timberland value, lumber cyclicality and newer climate initiatives while continuing to fund its roughly 4 percent dividend.
Yet even with a large timber base, investors should be aware that weaker lumber pricing could...
Read the full narrative on Weyerhaeuser (it's free!)
Weyerhaeuser's narrative projects $8.2 billion revenue and $990.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and a $711.3 million earnings increase from $279.0 million today.
Uncover how Weyerhaeuser's forecasts yield a $30.18 fair value, a 39% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Weyerhaeuser’s fair value between US$21.90 and US$40.61, reflecting very different expectations. When you set those views against today’s soft lumber demand risk, it underlines how much the company’s performance can hinge on housing and wood products pricing over time.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Weyerhaeuser - why the stock might be worth just $21.90!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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