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To own ACM Research, you need to believe its wafer cleaning and plating tools can keep winning share as chip complexity and China-focused capacity grow, despite export controls and customer concentration risks. The recent US$4.36 million insider sale by a 10% shareholder is sizeable, but on its own does not clearly change the near term focus on execution against 2025 revenue guidance or the key risk around China exposure and potential further trade restrictions.
The company’s updated 2025 guidance, narrowing expected revenue to US$875 million to US$925 million, is the most relevant context for this insider sale because it frames how much operational visibility management currently has. Against that backdrop, investors may view the transaction alongside ACM’s recent first shipments of panel-level tools and the ongoing need to convert a growing product portfolio and capacity investments into sustainable orders outside China.
Yet while growth opportunities in China remain central, investors should be aware that tighter export controls or weaker domestic fab spending could...
Read the full narrative on ACM Research (it's free!)
ACM Research's narrative projects $1.4 billion revenue and $189.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 19.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $77.5 million earnings increase from $112.1 million today.
Uncover how ACM Research's forecasts yield a $40.81 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$29.90 to US$40.81 per share, highlighting a wide band of expectations. Set against this, the concentration in China and exposure to shifting export rules could materially influence how those different views on ACM Research’s future play out, so it is worth considering several of these perspectives side by side.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on ACM Research - why the stock might be worth 15% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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