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We Think Tokyo Plast International (NSE:TOKYOPLAST) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Simply Wall St·12/09/2025 00:00:03
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Tokyo Plast International Limited (NSE:TOKYOPLAST) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Tokyo Plast International's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2025 Tokyo Plast International had ₹344.5m of debt, an increase on ₹176.5m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TOKYOPLAST Debt to Equity History December 9th 2025

How Healthy Is Tokyo Plast International's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tokyo Plast International had liabilities of ₹589.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹59.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹5.51m in cash and ₹252.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹390.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Tokyo Plast International has a market capitalization of ₹1.01b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

View our latest analysis for Tokyo Plast International

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.9 hit our confidence in Tokyo Plast International like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Fortunately, Tokyo Plast International grew its EBIT by 5.9% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tokyo Plast International will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tokyo Plast International saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Tokyo Plast International's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Tokyo Plast International has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Tokyo Plast International (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.