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To hold MINISO, you need to believe its IP heavy, experience led stores can offset recent earnings pressure and rising costs by driving durable global traffic and pricing power. The Sydney MINISO LAND adds brand heat and tests the “Super IP + Super Store” format in a premium overseas location, but does not yet change the key near term swing factors of margin recovery and cost control.
The most relevant recent update is MINISO’s November 2025 guidance for around 25% full year revenue growth and operating profit of RMB 3.65–3.85 billion, despite softer net income so far this year. The Sydney flagship fits that guidance narrative, leaning into higher quality, larger format stores and IP collaborations as potential levers for revenue growth and margin support if execution and store economics hold up.
Yet against this expansion push, investors should also be aware of the growing risk that store saturation and higher operating costs could...
Read the full narrative on MINISO Group Holding (it's free!)
MINISO Group Holding's narrative projects CN¥31.7 billion revenue and CN¥4.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 19.4% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about CN¥2.5 billion from CN¥2.4 billion today.
Uncover how MINISO Group Holding's forecasts yield a $26.83 fair value, a 35% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community now place MINISO’s fair value between US$26.59 and US$44.06, underlining how far opinions can diverge. Set that against the reliance on IP driven, experiential formats as a key growth engine, and it becomes even more important to compare several viewpoints on how sustainable that model really is.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on MINISO Group Holding - why the stock might be worth just $26.59!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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