Stabilus SE's (ETR:STM) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x Stabilus SE (ETR:STM) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Stabilus' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Stabilus
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Stabilus' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 39% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.4% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 26% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we are not surprised that Stabilus is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Stabilus' P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Stabilus maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Stabilus you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
If you're unsure about the strength of Stabilus' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.