• EN

    • -+ 0.00%
    -+ 0.00%
    -+ 0.00%

    Is Mineral Resources' (ASX:MIN) Technical Momentum Hinting at a Deeper Shift in Its Investment Story?

    Simply Wall St·12/09/2025 13:09:11
    Listen to the news
    • Recently, Mineral Resources was highlighted as one of the most interesting uptrends on the ASX, with technical analysis pointing to strong positive price momentum alongside larger peers such as BHP and Fortescue.
    • This recognition of sustained upward trading patterns has drawn extra investor attention to Mineral Resources, suggesting that market sentiment is increasingly focused on its recent operational and technical performance.
    • With Mineral Resources now singled out for strong upward momentum on the ASX, we’ll examine how heightened technical interest influences its investment narrative.

    AI is about to change healthcare. These 30 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.

    Mineral Resources Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Mineral Resources, you need to believe in the long term potential of its iron ore and lithium operations, and in its ability to turn heavy recent investment into sustainable cash flow. The recent recognition of strong price momentum is largely a reflection of sentiment and does not materially change the main near term catalyst, the Onslow Iron ramp up, or the key risk around balance sheet pressure from high capex and debt.

    The recent USD 700m 7.000% senior unsecured notes issue to refinance existing higher coupon debt is particularly relevant here, as it directly links to how the company manages its funding needs while markets focus on its uptrend. For investors watching the current rally, this refinancing speaks to the ongoing effort to repair the balance sheet and manage interest costs as major projects such as Onslow Iron continue to demand capital.

    Yet behind the strong share price trend, the risk tied to heavy capital expenditure and elevated debt is something investors should be aware of...

    Read the full narrative on Mineral Resources (it's free!)

    Mineral Resources' narrative projects A$5.8 billion revenue and A$284.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 9.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about A$1.19 billion from A$-904.0 million today.

    Uncover how Mineral Resources' forecasts yield a A$46.58 fair value, a 7% downside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    ASX:MIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    ASX:MIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Ten fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly A$20 to A$54 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. When you set those side by side with concerns about high capital expenditure and debt levels, it underlines why many investors choose to compare several viewpoints before deciding how Mineral Resources might fit into their portfolio.

    Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Mineral Resources - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

    Build Your Own Mineral Resources Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

    Searching For A Fresh Perspective?

    Markets shift fast. These stocks won't stay hidden for long. Get the list while it matters:

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.