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Is Vertex (VERX) Turning AI Tax Automation Into a Durable Edge in Accounting Workflows?

Simply Wall St·12/09/2025 16:14:42
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  • Vertex Inc. and CPA.com have expanded their long-standing partnership with Kintsugi to roll out an AI-driven, end-to-end sales tax compliance platform for accounting firms, which they highlighted at the recent Digital CPA Conference in Washington, D.C.
  • This move pushes advanced automation and artificial intelligence deeper into Client Advisory Services and State and Local Tax practices, potentially reshaping how firms scale multi-jurisdictional compliance work and advisory offerings.
  • Next, we’ll explore how this AI-enabled expansion into accounting firm workflows could influence Vertex’s investment narrative and long-term growth drivers.

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Vertex Investment Narrative Recap

To own Vertex, you have to believe tax automation remains essential infrastructure as regulations tighten and enterprises modernize finance systems, and that Vertex can convert this into steadily expanding recurring revenue. The new CPA.com and Kintsugi partnership supports that thesis by pushing Vertex’s AI deeper into accountant workflows, but it does not fundamentally change the near term focus on converting ERP and e‑invoicing demand, or the key risk that heavy AI and product investment could weigh on margins if adoption is slower than expected.

The recent US$150 million share repurchase authorization is the clearest recent signal of how management is thinking about capital allocation around this AI and e‑invoicing buildout. For investors, that sits alongside the CPA.com news as part of a broader story about balancing growth investments with returns of capital, at a time when macro uncertainty and slower cloud ERP projects could still affect Vertex’s ability to translate its partnerships and product roadmap into the revenue and earnings trajectory implied by consensus...

Read the full narrative on Vertex (it's free!)

Vertex’s narrative projects $1.1 billion in revenue and $71.6 million in earnings by 2028.

Uncover how Vertex's forecasts yield a $27.86 fair value, a 44% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

VERX 1-Year Stock Price Chart
VERX 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Three Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Vertex span roughly US$17.84 to US$32.80, underlining how far apart individual investors can be on upside. You should weigh that spread against the risk that ongoing heavy AI and product investment could compress margins longer than expected, and consider how different views on that trade off might shape the company’s future performance.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Vertex - why the stock might be worth as much as 70% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Vertex Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Vertex research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Vertex research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Vertex's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.