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To own Freeport-McMoRan, you need to believe in copper’s long term role in electrification and in Freeport’s ability to convert its global reserve base into cash flows despite geopolitical and ESG pressures. In the near term, the key catalyst remains execution at its Indonesian and Americas assets, while the biggest risk has become the cluster of Grasberg safety lawsuits and any knock-on effect on Indonesian regulatory relations, which could be more material than previously appreciated.
Against this backdrop, Freeport’s participation at the Resourcing Tomorrow conference, with the Chief Sustainability Officer presenting, is timely because it puts the company’s ESG and safety narrative in front of institutional investors just as Grasberg related class actions are emerging. For shareholders, how convincingly Freeport links its sustainability messaging to concrete risk mitigation at Grasberg will shape perceptions around both legal overhang and the durability of its Indonesia driven catalyst set.
But investors also need to be aware that the legal and regulatory fallout from Grasberg’s safety allegations could...
Read the full narrative on Freeport-McMoRan (it's free!)
Freeport-McMoRan's narrative projects $31.1 billion revenue and $3.3 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 6.4% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.4 billion earnings increase from $1.9 billion today.
Uncover how Freeport-McMoRan's forecasts yield a $48.52 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Members of the Simply Wall St Community see Freeport-McMoRan’s fair value anywhere between US$25.40 and US$109.49 across 9 separate views, underscoring how far apart individual expectations can sit. Set against this, the heightened focus on Grasberg related safety, regulation and ESG scrutiny may weigh on how confidently future Indonesia driven volumes and margins are factored into the company’s prospects, so it is worth comparing several of these viewpoints before forming a view of your own.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Freeport-McMoRan - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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