Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Thermax Limited (NSE:THERMAX) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2025 Thermax had debt of ₹17.6b, up from ₹14.5b in one year. But it also has ₹25.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹7.68b net cash.
The latest balance sheet data shows that Thermax had liabilities of ₹54.4b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹16.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹25.3b as well as receivables valued at ₹29.8b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹16.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Thermax has a market capitalization of ₹319.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Thermax boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
View our latest analysis for Thermax
But the other side of the story is that Thermax saw its EBIT decline by 2.9% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Thermax can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Thermax has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Thermax saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
We could understand if investors are concerned about Thermax's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of ₹7.68b. So we don't have any problem with Thermax's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Thermax (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.