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To own Celanese, you generally need to believe its engineered materials and acetyl platforms can recover from current industry weakness and convert cost cuts and portfolio upgrades into durable earnings. The new ISCC Carbon Footprint Certification supports the longer term sustainable materials story, but does not materially change the near term picture where depressed volumes, margin pressure in acetyls and elevated debt remain key swing factors for the share price.
The ISCC-certified POM ECO-C grades link back to Celanese’s earlier collaboration with Henkel on carbon capture based adhesives, both anchored in the Clear Lake CCU investments. Together they reinforce one of the core potential catalysts for the stock: that green chemistry and lower carbon polymers could help Celanese win share when end markets eventually stabilize and customers place more weight on product-level carbon data.
Yet, against this promising sustainability angle, investors still need to weigh the risk that prolonged overcapacity and weak demand in acetyls could...
Read the full narrative on Celanese (it's free!)
Celanese's narrative projects $10.2 billion revenue and $799.9 million earnings by 2028. This implies a 1.0% yearly revenue decline but an earnings increase of about $2.4 billion from -$1.6 billion today.
Uncover how Celanese's forecasts yield a $52.50 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.
Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Celanese’s fair value between US$52.50 and about US$90.02, highlighting how far opinions can stretch. Set those views against the risk that persistent overcapacity and weak demand keep volumes and margins under pressure, and it becomes even more important to compare several perspectives on what could drive a sustained recovery in the business.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Celanese - why the stock might be worth just $52.50!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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