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To own Frontline, you need to believe that crude and product tanker demand will remain healthy enough for its modern fleet to earn through shipping cycles, despite energy transition and rate volatility. The AGM’s board refresh, wide share issuance authority and VLCC sales/acquisitions do not materially change the near term focus on charter rates as the key catalyst, or the main risks around spot exposure, regulation and future oil demand.
The AGM approval to issue up to 377,377,111 new shares or convertible securities over the next twelve months is the announcement that most directly intersects with Frontline’s evolving fleet profile. It sits alongside a younger, larger VLCC fleet that is positioned to benefit if longer trade routes and limited global tanker supply support tonne mile demand, even as investors watch carefully for any dilution or shifts in capital allocation.
Yet alongside this fleet renewal and growth story, investors should be aware of how future environmental rules and carbon costs could...
Read the full narrative on Frontline (it's free!)
Frontline's narrative projects $1.3 billion revenue and $828.1 million earnings by 2028. This assumes revenues will decrease by 10.7% per year and earnings will increase by about $590 million from $238.0 million today.
Uncover how Frontline's forecasts yield a $29.50 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.
Eight fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range widely, from US$9.65 to US$67.47 per share, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. Set against this spread, the reliance on strong long haul crude flows and limited global fleet growth as key supports for Frontline’s earnings shows why you may want to consider several contrasting scenarios before deciding how its performance might evolve.
Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Frontline - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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