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To own Terreno Realty, you need to believe in coastal industrial real estate, stable federal and logistics tenants, and a management team that has historically balanced development risk with dividend reliability. The early lease renewal with the United States Secret Service, combined with new projects in Florida and Maryland at estimated stabilized cap rates of 5.2% and 6.0%, fits neatly into that income-first story rather than transforming it. In the near term, the Secret Service commitment modestly supports occupancy visibility and cash flow stability, while the Countyline and Hyattsville projects reinforce the key catalyst of growing rental income from modern distribution assets. The bigger swing factors still sit on the other side of the ledger: development execution, interest-rate sensitivity and the impact of prior one-off gains on how earnings trends are interpreted.
However, investors should also understand how development risk and funding costs could pressure future returns. Despite retreating, Terreno Realty's shares might still be trading 13% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Terreno Realty - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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