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To own Kitron, you need to believe in its ability to turn strong Defence/Aerospace demand into profitable growth while managing capacity and margin pressures. The new €74 million in defence orders and raised medium term targets support the current growth catalyst of higher defence volumes, but they also underline the key risk that rising reliance on defence, which often carries lower margins and higher material costs, could weigh on profitability if execution slips.
The most relevant announcement here is Kitron’s upgraded ambition to reach €1.50 billion in revenue with an EBIT margin above 9% and return on operating capital above 25%. This ambition sets a clear benchmark against which investors can judge whether growing defence exposure, including the new orders, truly offsets pressures on gross margins and operational efficiency, or merely increases scale without improving the quality of earnings.
But while defence wins support the growth story, investors should also be aware that...
Read the full narrative on Kitron (it's free!)
Kitron's narrative projects €1.0 billion revenue and €71.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 16.5% yearly revenue growth and about a €42.7 million earnings increase from €28.7 million today.
Uncover how Kitron's forecasts yield a NOK75.08 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community value Kitron between NOK60 and NOK133.12, underlining how far opinions on upside can spread. Against this wide range, the pressure on gross margins from high material costs and heavier defence mix becomes a central issue for anyone weighing the company’s future performance.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Kitron - why the stock might be worth 9% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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