Sharingtechnology, Inc.'s (TSE:3989) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Sharingtechnology, Inc. (TSE:3989) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, Sharingtechnology may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.8x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Sharingtechnology hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Sharingtechnology
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sharingtechnology's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 6.0%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 170% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per year as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.1% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Sharingtechnology is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Sharingtechnology's P/E
Sharingtechnology's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Sharingtechnology currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sharingtechnology that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sharingtechnology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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