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    Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Valuation Check After Insider Selling and Mounting Concerns Over Quantum Growth Sustainability

    Simply Wall St·12/11/2025 11:27:42
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    Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is back in the spotlight after insiders joined peers across the quantum sector in unloading shares, a move that clashes with Wall Street optimism and prompts fresh questions about its huge recent run.

    See our latest analysis for Rigetti Computing.

    That tension is playing out against a volatile backdrop, with Rigetti’s 1 day share price return of minus 7.44 percent and 1 month share price return of minus 16.82 percent cooling what is still explosive longer term momentum, highlighted by a 1 year total shareholder return of 337.52 percent and a 3 year total shareholder return above 2,500 percent.

    If Rigetti’s roller coaster ride has you thinking more broadly about quantum and next generation computing bets, it might be worth exploring high growth tech and AI stocks as a way to spot the next potential outliers.

    With insiders cashing out even as analysts project roughly 50 percent upside from here, the real question is whether Rigetti’s brutal volatility has finally reset expectations or if today’s price already bakes in tomorrow’s quantum breakthroughs.

    Price to Book of 23.2x: Is it justified?

    Rigetti’s latest close at 26.12 comes with a steep price to book ratio of 23.2 times, signalling a rich valuation versus peers.

    The price to book multiple compares a company’s market value to its net assets, a common yardstick for hardware heavy, capital intensive semiconductor names. For Rigetti, such a lofty ratio suggests investors are paying far above the current balance sheet for future quantum computing potential rather than present day fundamentals.

    That optimism stands out sharply against both the broader US semiconductor industry and Rigetti’s own peer set. The sector average sits at just 3.9 times book value, while comparable peers trade around 7.1 times. Rigetti’s 23.2 times multiple is a striking outlier that indicates the market is pricing in significantly more long term success than is typical.

    See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

    Result: Price-to-Book of 23.2x (OVERVALUED)

    However, steep losses amid modest revenue and dependence on unproven quantum demand mean any slowdown or funding squeeze could quickly unwind today’s premium.

    Find out about the key risks to this Rigetti Computing narrative.

    Build Your Own Rigetti Computing Narrative

    If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a fully personalised view in minutes: Do it your way.

    A great starting point for your Rigetti Computing research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Ready for more investment ideas?

    If Rigetti has opened your eyes to what is possible, do not stop here, use the Simply Wall Street Screener to uncover your next high conviction opportunity.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.