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To own Public Storage, you need to believe that long term demand for self storage and the company’s scale can offset near term pricing pressure and cost inflation. The latest update, showing lower new tenant rents but continued acquisitions, does not materially change the key near term catalyst of sector pricing stabilization, nor the main risk around industry oversupply and discounting in competitive markets.
The operating update and recent investor presentation are central here, as they tie the 88-facility, US$949.4 million acquisition push and 6.1 million added rentable square feet directly to future revenue drivers. Together with commentary that storage pricing is starting to stabilize after a period of pressure, these disclosures help frame how new and Same Store assets might perform if move in rates recover while discount driven customer acquisition remains a risk.
But even if pricing is stabilizing, investors should still be aware that heavy use of move in discounts and marketing spend could...
Read the full narrative on Public Storage (it's free!)
Public Storage's narrative projects $5.3 billion revenue and $2.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.8% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $0.4 billion earnings increase from $1.6 billion today.
Uncover how Public Storage's forecasts yield a $326.16 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$260 to US$455 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. You should weigh this spread against the risk that aggressive discounting to drive short term occupancy could strain margins and influence how the business performs if sector demand softens again.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Public Storage - why the stock might be worth just $260.01!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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