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To own General Mills, you need to believe its big brands and steady cash flows can fund ongoing reinvestment in marketing, pricing, and fewer but bigger innovations, even as earnings are forecast to decline. The Marty Supreme Wheaties box and Reese’s Puffs Dark Chocolate launches are clever brand moments, but they are unlikely to meaningfully change the near term earnings headwinds from value seeking consumers and higher costs.
The Reese’s Puffs Dark Chocolate release is particularly relevant here, because it reflects the “fewer, but bigger” innovation focus that General Mills has highlighted for fiscal 2026. While one product will not move the needle on its own, it shows how the company is trying to support volumes in challenged cereal and snacks categories while it reinvests Holistic Margin Management savings and other cost efficiencies into innovation and media.
However, while these launches are fun to watch, investors should also be aware that...
Read the full narrative on General Mills (it's free!)
General Mills’ narrative projects $19.0 billion revenue and $2.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.8% yearly revenue decline and a $0.2 billion earnings decrease from $2.3 billion today.
Uncover how General Mills' forecasts yield a $53.89 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value General Mills between US$53.37 and US$103.97 per share, showing how far opinions can spread. You can weigh those views against the current risk that continued reinvestment of Holistic Margin Management savings could slow any improvement in margins and earnings, and decide which set of assumptions best fits your expectations for the business.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on General Mills - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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