If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. So after glancing at the trends within Arabian United Float Glass (TADAWUL:9611), we weren't too hopeful.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Arabian United Float Glass, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = ر.س76m ÷ (ر.س614m - ر.س96m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).
Thus, Arabian United Float Glass has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Building industry average of 14%.
Check out our latest analysis for Arabian United Float Glass
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Arabian United Float Glass has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Arabian United Float Glass' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Arabian United Float Glass. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 20% that they were earning three years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Arabian United Float Glass becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a related note, Arabian United Float Glass has decreased its current liabilities to 16% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. And, the stock has remained flat over the last year, so investors don't seem too impressed either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Arabian United Float Glass does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Arabian United Float Glass that you might be interested in.
While Arabian United Float Glass isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.