Socionext Inc.'s (TSE:6526) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥25.00 per share on 5th of June. This means the annual payment is 2.2% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Socionext's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 31.7% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 66%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Socionext
The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 3 years was ¥42.00 in 2022, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥50.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.0% over that duration. Investors will likely want to see a longer track record of growth before making decision to add this to their income portfolio.
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. We are encouraged to see that Socionext has grown earnings per share at 92% per year over the past five years. Socionext is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Socionext is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Socionext (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Socionext not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.