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To own Constellation Software, you have to believe in its ability to keep buying, integrating and operating vertical market software businesses at scale, despite a high valuation and a recent share price pullback. The core near term catalysts still hinge on earnings execution after a year of volatile profit, resolving the impact of large one off items, and showing that high forecast earnings growth can translate into cleaner margins and stronger cash generation. Mark Miller’s appointment to the board, on top of taking over as President, looks more like a continuity move than a reset, so it probably does not change those fundamental drivers. If anything, his three decades inside the acquisition engine may ease concerns about leadership disruption after Mark Leonard’s step back, but it does not remove balance sheet, valuation or AI related risks.
However, investors also need to weigh how high debt and rich multiples could amplify any setback. Despite retreating, Constellation Software's shares might still be trading 43% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore 20 other fair value estimates on Constellation Software - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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