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To own Lottery, you need to believe its shift from a mature, retail based lottery model toward higher margin digital channels can offset demographic and regulatory pressures. Wayne Pickup’s appointment looks like an evolution rather than a sharp change in course, so it does not materially alter the near term focus on stabilising earnings after last year’s revenue and profit decline, nor the key risk around executing digital transformation while managing debt and dividend commitments.
The most relevant recent announcement in this context is the FY2025 result, which showed lower sales of A$3,748.9 million and net income of A$365.5 million, alongside ongoing dividend payouts. This combination of softer earnings and continued capital returns frames the backdrop for the new CEO, with investors watching closely to see whether operational decisions and digital investment under new leadership can support profit growth without placing additional stress on the balance sheet or payout capacity.
However, investors should also be aware that if digital investments fail to resonate with younger players while retail traffic keeps softening, then …
Read the full narrative on Lottery (it's free!)
Lottery's narrative projects A$4.4 billion revenue and A$480.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.6% yearly revenue growth and about A$114.8 million earnings increase from A$365.5 million today.
Uncover how Lottery's forecasts yield a A$5.75 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide A$2.89 to A$5.75 per share, underlining how differently investors can view Lottery’s prospects. You are weighing these views against a business where digital adoption remains a key potential margin catalyst, but also a source of execution risk that could influence earnings and dividends over time.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Lottery - why the stock might be worth as much as 9% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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