Reassessing Kuehne + Nagel International (SWX:KNIN)’s Valuation After Its Recent Share Price Rebound
Recent Share Performance and Context
Kuehne + Nagel International (SWX:KNIN) has quietly staged a rebound, with the stock up about 9% over the past month even as its year to date and 1 year returns remain negative.
See our latest analysis for Kuehne + Nagel International.
That rebound sits against a tougher backdrop, with the share price still showing a negative year to date return and a 1 year total shareholder return of around minus 12 percent. This suggests sentiment may be stabilising rather than fully turning.
If Kuehne + Nagel’s recent move has you reassessing logistics exposure, it might also be a good moment to see what else is gaining traction, starting with auto manufacturers.
With modest earnings growth, but a weak recent share price and a target below today’s level, is Kuehne + Nagel a cyclical laggard poised for a re rating, or is the market already discounting its next leg of growth?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 9.3% Overvalued
With Kuehne + Nagel International last closing at CHF173.70 against a narrative fair value near CHF159, the story leans toward a cautious optimism on upside.
The analysts have a consensus price target of CHF180.882 for Kuehne + Nagel International based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of CHF225.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just CHF127.0.
Curious how modest revenue growth, a deliberate margin rebuild, and a richer future earnings multiple still justify this premium tag, despite recent downgrades and softer guidance?
Result: Fair Value of $158.94 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, sustained currency headwinds and prolonged margin pressure from overcapacity and weak trade lanes could quickly challenge the current premium narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Kuehne + Nagel International narrative.
Another Angle on Valuation
Looked at through its earnings multiple, Kuehne + Nagel trades at about 20.2 times earnings, far richer than European shipping peers at 9 times and even above a fair ratio of 24.1 times that the market could gravitate toward, raising questions about how much upside is really left.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
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Build Your Own Kuehne + Nagel International Narrative
If you want to stress test these assumptions or rely on your own analysis instead, you can build a personalised narrative in just minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Kuehne + Nagel International research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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