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Concentra (CON): Assessing Valuation After Strong Q3 Results, Buy Ratings, and New Clinic Expansion

Simply Wall St·12/13/2025 17:18:32
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Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. just opened a new occupational health center in Corona, California, adding another spoke to its expanding clinic network at the same time its stock draws broad Wall Street support.

See our latest analysis for Concentra Group Holdings Parent.

The new Corona center fits into a year marked by steady execution, with the share price at 19.87 dollars and a modest year to date share price return suggesting momentum is rebuilding after a weaker 90 day stretch and slightly negative one year total shareholder return.

If this kind of steady expansion appeals to you, it might be a good time to explore other healthcare names using our curated healthcare stocks for more potential ideas.

With revenue and profits still climbing, a roughly 13 percent intrinsic discount, and analyst targets sitting far above the current price, is Concentra quietly undervalued or already reflecting its next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 29.4% Undervalued

With Concentra Group Holdings Parent last closing at 19.87 dollars, the most followed narrative points to a materially higher fair value anchored in improving fundamentals.

Strategic acquisitions (Nova and Pivot) and de novo clinic expansion are actively increasing Concentra's national footprint and service capabilities, providing revenue growth through increased volumes and operational leverage; full integration and synergy realization are expected to further improve EBITDA margins and overall earnings in coming quarters. Investments in digital transformation, data analytics, and telemedicine via both board appointments and ongoing technology CAPEX are expected to enhance patient throughput, operational efficiencies, and retention, ultimately supporting improved net margins and earnings growth.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how steady visit growth, rising margins, and a lower future earnings multiple can still imply upside from here? The full narrative reveals the exact growth and profitability path that underpins this valuation call, and how those assumptions translate into a higher long term fair value than today’s price suggests.

Result: Fair Value of $28.13 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent margin pressure from integration costs and elevated leverage, which limits financial flexibility, could quickly derail the current undervaluation narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Concentra Group Holdings Parent narrative.

Build Your Own Concentra Group Holdings Parent Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to test your own assumptions against the numbers, you can build a personalized narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way

A great starting point for your Concentra Group Holdings Parent research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.