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How Driven Brands' Post-Divestiture 2025 Guidance Reset Will Impact Driven Brands Holdings (DRVN) Investors

Simply Wall St·12/13/2025 18:16:35
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  • Earlier this month, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. updated its 2025 earnings guidance after divesting its international car wash business, now classified as discontinued operations, and projected revenue of US$1.85 billion to US$1.87 billion from continuing operations.
  • This shift sharpens investor focus on the core service portfolio, giving a clearer view of how the remaining businesses are expected to perform financially.
  • Next, we’ll examine how this divestiture-driven guidance update reshapes Driven Brands’ investment narrative around its core, continuing operations.

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Driven Brands Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To own Driven Brands, you need to believe its focused portfolio of auto service brands can convert recurring car care demand into improving profitability, despite near term pressure in weaker segments. The revised 2025 revenue outlook from continuing operations, following the international car wash divestiture, clarifies the short term picture but does not materially alter the key near term catalyst of same store sales stabilizing or the main risk from underperforming Franchise Brands.

The most connected development here is management’s reaffirmation of 2025 guidance for modest same store sales growth and 175 to 200 net new locations, now presented on a continuing operations basis. Seen alongside the divestiture driven guidance reset, this helps investors judge whether unit expansion and higher margin services at Take 5 and other core banners can offset ongoing softness in collision and more discretionary services.

Yet even with clearer guidance, investors still need to watch the pressure in Franchise Brands and what it could mean for...

Read the full narrative on Driven Brands Holdings (it's free!)

Driven Brands Holdings' narrative projects $2.6 billion revenue and $250.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 2.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $556.7 million earnings increase from -$306.6 million today.

Uncover how Driven Brands Holdings' forecasts yield a $21.92 fair value, a 42% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DRVN 1-Year Stock Price Chart
DRVN 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Simply Wall St Community members have only two fair value estimates for Driven Brands, ranging from US$21.92 to US$36.60, underscoring how far opinions can differ. You should weigh those views against the current risk that same store sales weakness in the Franchise Brands segment could continue to pressure margins and shape the company’s operating performance over the next few years.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Driven Brands Holdings - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Driven Brands Holdings Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.