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To own BWX Technologies, you generally need to believe that long term demand for defense nuclear systems and advanced reactors will support its large backlog and earnings base. The latest Pele fuel shipment and Kozloduy Owner’s Engineer award both reinforce that narrative, but they do not fundamentally change the near term focus on execution risk across complex government programs or the existing exposure to any shifts in U.S. defense and nuclear priorities.
The Kozloduy Owner’s Engineer contract stands out here because it links directly to one of BWXT’s key potential growth areas in large scale commercial nuclear projects. If Bulgaria advances its AP1000 build, this multi year, hundreds of millions of euros engagement showcases BWXT’s role across the full project lifecycle, adding another long duration civil nuclear opportunity alongside its defense work and reinforcing the backlog that underpins many investors’ current thesis.
However, even with new TRISO and Kozloduy work, investors should be aware that BWXT’s dependence on long term government contracts leaves it exposed if...
Read the full narrative on BWX Technologies (it's free!)
BWX Technologies’ narrative projects $3.9 billion revenue and $494.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 11.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $200 million earnings increase from $294.4 million today.
Uncover how BWX Technologies' forecasts yield a $221.22 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.
Members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see BWXT’s fair value anywhere between US$120 and US$250 across 10 separate views, so you are getting a wide spread of expectations. Set against that, the big question many of these investors are wrestling with is how secure BWXT’s heavy dependence on long duration U.S. defense and nuclear contracts will prove over time, and what that could mean for the company’s future performance.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on BWX Technologies - why the stock might be worth 31% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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