According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.69%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 41.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 50.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 8.1%.

According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.69%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 41.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 50.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 8.1%.