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Why Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) Is Down 14.9% After Revealing Its Valo eVTOL And New Air-Taxi MoUs

Simply Wall St·12/13/2025 23:24:12
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  • On 10 December 2025, Vertical Aerospace revealed its next-generation Valo eVTOL aircraft and announced MoUs and partnerships with Héli Air Monaco, Skyports Infrastructure and Bristow Group to develop zero-operating-emission air-taxi routes in Europe and the UK.
  • Together, these agreements move Vertical closer to commercial operations by pairing its new aircraft with operators, infrastructure providers and planned high-value routes such as Monaco–Nice and Canary Wharf–Heathrow.
  • With the shares seeing a 14.92% 7-day decline, we’ll examine how Valo’s planned 2028 certification timeline influences Vertical’s investment narrative.

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What Is Vertical Aerospace's Investment Narrative?

For Vertical Aerospace, you really have to believe that eVTOLs move from prototype to a certified, scaled service within a few years, before the cash runway runs out. The Valo launch and fresh MoUs with Héli Air Monaco, Skyports and Bristow help the story feel more tangible, because they tie a specific aircraft to defined routes, operators and timelines rather than abstract future demand. That said, near term the key catalysts still look heavily regulatory and financial: achieving full transition flight on the VX4, converting MoUs into binding orders, and securing fresh capital without severe dilution, all against a backdrop of no meaningful revenue and negative equity. The sharp 7‑day share price pullback suggests the market is not treating the new announcements as game‑changing just yet.

However, there is one funding risk in particular that current and potential shareholders should not overlook. Upon reviewing our latest valuation report, Vertical Aerospace's share price might be too optimistic.

Exploring Other Perspectives

EVTL 1-Year Stock Price Chart
EVTL 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Five Simply Wall St Community members see fair value between US$9 and US$60, underlining how widely opinions diverge. Set those views against Vertical’s short cash runway and 2028 certification target, and it becomes clear why investors weigh upside potential against very real execution and financing risks.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Vertical Aerospace - why the stock might be worth over 10x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Vertical Aerospace Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Vertical Aerospace research is our analysis highlighting 8 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Vertical Aerospace research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Vertical Aerospace's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.