Orkla (OB:ORK) Valuation Check as India Expansion and Acquisition Push Drives Investor Interest
Orkla (OB:ORK) is back on investors radar after Orkla India's CEO outlined an expansion push built around acquisitions, quick delivery apps, and ready-to-eat meals, targeting a return to double digit growth from 2026.
See our latest analysis for Orkla.
Those India expansion plans land at a time when momentum is quietly rebuilding, with Orkla’s share price returning 10.64% year to date and its one year total shareholder return reaching 16.34%, backed by an impressive three year total shareholder return of 90.05%.
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Yet with profits under pressure, a mixed value score, and the shares now sitting slightly above analyst targets, investors must ask: is Orkla a mispriced growth story, or is the market already baking in its next leg of expansion?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 0.9% Overvalued
With Orkla last closing at NOK109.2 against a narrative fair value near NOK108.2, the storyline assumes only a slim premium over today’s price.
The analysts have a consensus price target of NOK108.2 for Orkla based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of NOK130.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just NOK92.0.
Want to see what keeps this valuation pinned just above today’s price? The narrative leans on modest revenue gains, firmer margins, and a carefully chosen earnings multiple. Curious which assumptions really carry the model and how sensitive that fair value is to even small shifts in growth or profitability? Dive in to see the full playbook behind this tight valuation spread.
Result: Fair Value of $108.2 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, stubborn input cost inflation and execution risks around divestments and repositioning could easily derail margin ambitions and upend today’s tightly priced growth narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Orkla narrative.
Another Take Through Earnings Ratios
Looking at simple earnings ratios, the picture flips. Orkla trades on a 16.9x price to earnings ratio, cheaper than peer companies at 39.1x but well above its own 8.4x fair ratio, implying the share could be richly valued if sentiment cools.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Orkla Narrative
If you disagree with this view or simply want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Orkla research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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