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    Ontex Group (ENXTBR:ONTEX) Is Down 25.3% After CEO Transition And Revenue Cut News – Has The Bull Case Changed?

    Simply Wall St·12/15/2025 07:16:27
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    • Ontex Group has announced that Europe Division President Laurent Nielly will succeed Gustavo Calvo Paz as CEO after the May 5, 2026 shareholders’ meeting, while also cutting its 2025 revenue outlook and warning of a high single digit like-for-like revenue drop in the fourth quarter versus last year.
    • At the same time, Ontex is tripling baby pants production capacity in North America to support retailer-brand growth in a segment where U.S. consumers are increasingly opting for affordable, premium-quality store brands.
    • We’ll now examine how the CEO transition, alongside lowered revenue guidance, reshapes Ontex’s investment narrative and future execution priorities.

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    What Is Ontex Group's Investment Narrative?

    To own Ontex today, you need to believe the company can convert its repositioning around private-label hygiene into steadier profits despite choppy execution. The sudden cut to 2025 revenue guidance and warning of a high single digit Q4 decline reset expectations and help explain the sharp share price fall, but they also sharpen the focus on near term catalysts: stabilizing like-for-like sales, proving that new North American capacity fills profitably, and showing early benefits from recent product launches. The planned 2026 CEO transition to Laurent Nielly adds continuity rather than disruption, given his internal track record, yet it also raises the bar on fixing low margins and high leverage. In the short run, revenue visibility and balance sheet risk now matter more than any long term growth story.

    However, one issue could quietly limit upside if conditions do not improve. Despite retreating, Ontex Group's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    ENXTBR:ONTEX 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    ENXTBR:ONTEX 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly €6.93 to about €19.10, reflecting very different expectations for Ontex’s recovery potential. Set this against the recent revenue downgrade and high debt load, and you can see why opinions diverge so sharply on how quickly the business can repair margins and rebuild confidence.

    Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Ontex Group - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Ontex Group Narrative

    Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.