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    Is SoftBank (TSE:9984) Rebalancing Risk Or Doubling Down With Its Latest AI Infrastructure Moves?

    Simply Wall St·12/15/2025 09:14:51
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    • In early December 2025, reports emerged that SoftBank Group Corp. was in talks to acquire DigitalBridge Group, an AI-focused digital infrastructure owner, as broader technology markets turned cautious following disappointing Oracle earnings and questions about data center returns.
    • At the same time, Masayoshi Son used higher SoftBank valuations to cut back share pledges by about US$2.10 billion, signaling a push to reduce leverage even as the group pursues more AI-related assets.
    • Next, we’ll examine how SoftBank’s potential DigitalBridge acquisition and sector-wide AI jitters may reshape its AI-centric investment narrative.

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    SoftBank Group Investment Narrative Recap

    To own SoftBank Group today, you need to believe in its AI centric, asset recycling story while accepting volatile tech sentiment and a leveraged balance sheet. The DigitalBridge talks and Oracle driven selloff highlight how quickly market views on AI infrastructure can swing, but they do not yet change the key near term catalyst of monetizing AI related holdings or the central risk that funding costs and regulation could pressure high valuations.

    The recent move by Masayoshi Son to cut SoftBank share pledges by about US$2.10 billion is particularly relevant here, as it points to some balance sheet risk reduction at the same time SoftBank explores a sizeable AI infrastructure acquisition. For investors watching potential DigitalBridge exposure, this sits alongside earlier announcements like the Stargate AI data center partnerships with OpenAI and Oracle, which concentrate SoftBank’s story even more tightly around AI infrastructure and capital intensive technology bets.

    Yet even as AI enthusiasm builds, one risk investors should be aware of is how quickly tighter regulation and higher funding costs could hit SoftBank’s...

    Read the full narrative on SoftBank Group (it's free!)

    SoftBank Group's narrative projects ¥8650.2 billion revenue and ¥620.6 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and a ¥1,110.8 billion earnings decrease from ¥1,731.4 billion today.

    Uncover how SoftBank Group's forecasts yield a ¥22781 fair value, a 35% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    TSE:9984 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    TSE:9984 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly ¥1,099 to ¥22,781 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. As you weigh that spread against SoftBank’s increasing focus on AI infrastructure and data center exposure, it is worth considering how sensitive those assets may be to shifting tech sentiment and funding conditions.

    Explore 3 other fair value estimates on SoftBank Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 35% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own SoftBank Group Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.