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To own KB Home, you need to believe that its build time gains, cost control and land pipeline can offset a softer selling environment and declining earnings expectations. The latest West Coast community openings support that long term capacity story, but they do little to change the near term catalyst, which is the upcoming earnings release where analysts expect weaker revenue and margins, or the key risk that demand stays pressured as consumer confidence and regional conditions remain uneven.
Among the recent announcements, Preserve and Retreat at Crosswinds in Morgan Hill stand out because they underline KB Home’s focus on higher priced, personalized communities in supply constrained, job rich areas. These projects connect directly with the company’s effort to use targeted land investment and attractive product positioning to keep orders flowing, even as pricing adjustments and regional headwinds threaten margins and make short term earnings more fragile.
Yet while new communities look appealing, investors should be aware of how softer demand and price cuts could compress KB Home’s profitability...
Read the full narrative on KB Home (it's free!)
KB Home's narrative projects $6.8 billion revenue and $496.4 million earnings by 2028. This implies a 0.2% yearly revenue decline and a $125.1 million earnings decrease from $621.5 million today.
Uncover how KB Home's forecasts yield a $68.00 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from about US$46.88 to over US$172,746 per share, showing just how far views can spread. Against that broad range, the current concern about slowing demand and lowered revenue guidance reminds you to weigh both upside stories and the real risk of weaker performance before forming your own view.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on KB Home - why the stock might be worth 27% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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