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Before the CPI was announced, according to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 26.6%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 73.4%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 45.8%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 43.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 10.9%.

Zhitongcaijing·12/18/2025 13:33:44
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Before the CPI was announced, according to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 26.6%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 73.4%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 45.8%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 43.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 10.9%.