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Is J.P. Morgan's Downgrade Testing Ingram Micro (INGM)'s Cloud Partnership Momentum And IT Spending Resilience?

Simply Wall St·12/18/2025 21:22:58
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  • In the past week, J.P. Morgan downgraded Ingram Micro Holding to “underweight,” citing concerns about weaker enterprise IT spending and a likely cooling in PC demand after a strong 2025 cycle.
  • This shift in analyst sentiment contrasts with Ingram Micro’s recent AWS Partner of the Year awards and its new Polish go-to-market collaboration for SaaS data protection.
  • We’ll now examine how J.P. Morgan’s downgrade and concerns around enterprise spending shape Ingram Micro’s investment narrative.

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What Is Ingram Micro Holding's Investment Narrative?

To own Ingram Micro, you need to believe that its role as a global IT distributor and cloud enabler can translate modest top-line growth into improving profitability, despite thin margins and balance sheet constraints. J.P. Morgan’s downgrade and the share price pullback show how sensitive the stock is to any hint of softer enterprise IT and PC demand, which now looks like the key short term swing factor. At the same time, the AWS Partner of the Year awards and the expanded Keepit collaboration into Poland reinforce the company’s position in higher value cloud and SaaS ecosystems, but these wins are unlikely to offset a broad spending slowdown quickly. For now, the downgrade slightly tilts the near term catalyst mix toward risk rather than opportunity.

However, the combination of low margins and weaker enterprise IT demand is something investors should not ignore. Despite retreating, Ingram Micro Holding's shares might still be trading 43% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.

Exploring Other Perspectives

INGM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
INGM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Community members on Simply Wall St value Ingram Micro between US$14.20 and US$37.58, based on four independent models. Set against concerns about weaker 2026 enterprise spending, this spread shows how differently shareholders may weigh cloud partnerships versus cyclicality when thinking about the company’s future.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Ingram Micro Holding - why the stock might be worth 34% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Ingram Micro Holding Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.