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To own Kao, you need to believe its brands can convert steady demand in hygiene and beauty into durable earnings while gradually diversifying beyond Japan. The announced retirement of treasury shares tweaks capital structure but does not materially change the near term catalyst around executing overseas growth, nor the key risk of margin pressure from high input costs and intense competition abroad.
The most directly connected recent update is Kao’s ongoing share repurchase and capital return activity referenced in its November 20 communication, which frames this retirement of treasury stock as part of a broader capital structure reshaping. For investors focused on catalysts, these actions sit alongside Kao’s guidance for earnings growth and margin improvement, but they do not remove the underlying risks tied to slower overseas expansion and persistent cost inflation.
Yet behind these balance sheet moves, investors should still be aware that rising raw material costs and only partial price pass through could...
Read the full narrative on Kao (it's free!)
Kao's narrative projects ¥1,815.8 billion revenue and ¥149.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.3% yearly revenue growth and about a ¥35.9 billion earnings increase from ¥114.0 billion today.
Uncover how Kao's forecasts yield a ¥7630 fair value, a 20% upside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster tightly between ¥7,630 and ¥7,781, suggesting concentrated but differing views on upside. You can weigh those against Kao’s reliance on Japan for profit growth, which leaves performance sensitive to how quickly overseas expansion and margin initiatives genuinely take hold.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Kao - why the stock might be worth just ¥7630!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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