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To own Geely Automobile Holdings, you need to believe it can convert its push into new energy vehicles, smart tech and exports into sustained, profitable growth despite intense competition. The new buyback program and record‑setting hybrid efficiency support the near term focus on earnings quality and NEV product appeal, but do not remove key risks around pricing pressure and execution in overseas markets, so the core narrative remains broadly intact.
The commencement of the shareholder‑mandated buyback, covering up to 10% of issued shares, ties directly into the current catalyst of improving earnings per share and capital efficiency. For investors watching Geely’s expansion in NEVs and exports, this capital return policy sits alongside its technology initiatives like the STARRAY EM-i and real world asset tokenization, adding another layer to how future earnings growth might be reflected on a per share basis.
Yet, while these developments are encouraging, investors should still be aware of how rising NEV competition could...
Read the full narrative on Geely Automobile Holdings (it's free!)
Geely Automobile Holdings' narrative projects CN¥463.1 billion revenue and CN¥22.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 19.5% yearly revenue growth and about CN¥7.4 billion earnings increase from CN¥15.1 billion today.
Uncover how Geely Automobile Holdings' forecasts yield a HK$26.38 fair value, a 57% upside to its current price.
Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Geely’s fair value between HK$22.70 and HK$46.20, highlighting very different expectations. When you set these views against Geely’s heavy exposure to increasingly crowded NEV markets, it becomes even more important to weigh several perspectives on how competition could affect future performance.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Geely Automobile Holdings - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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