TP ICAP Group PLC's (LON:TCAP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 28x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for TP ICAP Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for TP ICAP Group
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like TP ICAP Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 82% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 170% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.4% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that TP ICAP Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of TP ICAP Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for TP ICAP Group you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than TP ICAP Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.