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To own Simpson Manufacturing, you need to believe its structural connectors business can keep compounding through code driven demand, construction innovation and disciplined capital allocation, despite housing cyclicality and steel cost pressures. The third quarter earnings beat supports that thesis in the near term, while the director’s share sale does not appear material enough on its own to change the key catalyst of margin delivery or the main risk around construction activity and input costs.
The most relevant recent announcement alongside the earnings surprise is Simpson’s updated 2025 operating margin outlook of 19.0% to 20.0%, which ties directly into the near term catalyst of margin resilience amid tariffs and housing uncertainty. Together with consistent dividends, this guidance frames how investors might weigh strong current profitability against cyclical and cost related risks that could challenge earnings consistency.
But that margin story also comes with a risk investors should be aware of if housing activity and steel costs...
Read the full narrative on Simpson Manufacturing (it's free!)
Simpson Manufacturing's narrative projects $2.6 billion revenue and $432.2 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Simpson Manufacturing's forecasts yield a $194.75 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community value Simpson between US$35.80 and US$221.69, highlighting sharply different expectations for its long term potential. You can weigh those views against the current focus on operating margins as a key catalyst for business performance and consider how differing assumptions about profitability might affect your own outlook.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Simpson Manufacturing - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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