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For China Longyuan Power Group, you really have to believe in the shift from coal to renewables as the core value driver. The latest November numbers support that idea: overall generation is barely up year to date, but once coal is stripped out, output is growing solidly, with PV generation expanding very rapidly on a small base and wind still inching ahead. That helps the short term narrative around earnings growth forecasts and the stock’s current valuation discount, especially since the market has been weak recently despite reasonable profit expectations and low-cost funding access. At the same time, the news also underlines key risks: cash generation still needs to support dividends and debt, governance is evolving with a relatively new board and management team, and the business remains sensitive to monthly volume swings.
However, one structural risk could easily catch out investors who only focus on the growth story.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on China Longyuan Power Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 37% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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